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The threat of severe thunderstorms and flooding will be at hand in the southern Plains and Deep South on Thursday. Meanwhile, showers and storms will be scattered across the northern Plains, Great Lakes, Northeast, and Gulf Coast regions. Additionally, a taste of winter looks to creep into the mountainous regions of the Pacific Northwest.
A low pressure system will move through the Upper Midwest during the morning hours bringing showers and rumbles of thunder to the area. Unsettled weather will continue through mid-day before departing by the late afternoon. Another area of low pressure will bring similar weather to the coastal areas of New England during the morning hours as well.
A stationary front to the south of that area of low pressure in the Upper Midwest will bring isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms to the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, and Mid-Mississippi Valley in the afternoon and evening. Some storms may be strong particularly in Missouri, southern Illinois, western Kentucky, and western Tennessee. A localized threat of strong winds, small hail, and even a tornado or two cannot be ruled out.
Further south, the main severe weather threat for the day will unfold. While flash flooding is possible in Oklahoma, eastern Texas, western Arkansas, Louisiana, and western Mississippi, an afternoon and evening full of strong to severe storm activity will develop in most of Texas. Storm initiation will start in southwest Texas by the late afternoon and move eastward through central and eastern Texas. Hail and damaging wind gusts are the primary threats with these storms. However, potential is there for tornado development.
The Pacific Northwest will wake up to a quiet day, but as the late afternoon approaches a Pacific system will make landfall bringing low elevation rain and a high elevation mix of rain and snow to the area. This will particularly be prominent in northern Oregon, Washington, and northern Idaho and will continue after sunset.
In the midst of all this weather action, some areas will be free of Mother's Nature determination to ruin outdoor plans. The Great Basin, central Plains, and Mid-Atlantic will be in for a quiet and sunny day.
Afternoon temperatures will be in the 80s and 90s across the Desert Southwest, Great Basin, Gulf Coast, Deep South, and Southeast. Some areas in south Texas may top 100 degrees! Closer to the Pacific coastline will be much cooler, as 50s and 60s will be found. This will also be the case along the New England and Mid-Atlantic coastline and areas close in proximity to Lake Superior and Lake Huron in the Great Lakes region. Below average temperatures will also be found in New Mexico and the Texas Panhandle, where temperatures will hover in the 60s and 70s. The interior Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, Ohio Valley, Mississippi Valley, central and northern Plains, and the rest of the Mountain West will experience highs in the 70s and 80s.