Severe Storm Risk - Fort Wayne, IN

There is a Slight Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN KANSAS...FAR SOUTHEASTERN NEBRASKA...NORTHWESTERN MISSOURI...AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN IOWA SUMMARY Numerous severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening across the south-central Plains and mid Missouri Valley. Supercells capable of producing very large to giant hail and multiple strong to intense tornadoes remain likely from central Kansas and southeast Nebraska into Iowa and northwest Missouri. 20z Update Midwest Lower Great Lakes An expansive MCS remains ongoing over portions of the lower Great Lakes this afternoon. The environment ahead of the complex is unstable, but with gradually decreasing moisture/buoyancy farther east. An isolated severe risk likely exists ahead of the line across OH and lower MI through this evening. A large cold pool behind the complex has overturned the air mass across much of northern IL, southern WI and eastern IA. This should greatly limit air mass recovery this afternoon and evening. Additional convection originating from the central Plains and mid MO valley may continue eastward, but is forecasted to weaken as it encounters the cooler air mass tonight. Isolated storms, likely elevated, could persist with a risk for hail, but the severe potential has decreased such that, probabilities were lowered. Central Plains and Mid MO Valley Several supercells and organized clusters have emerged across parts of KS and southern NE. A very unstable and strongly sheared environment remains in place ahead of these storms. This should support a risk for all hazards, include strong tornadoes, very large hail, and significant damaging winds. Current expectations are for the individual supercells to grow upscale into one or more clusters as they interact with a modifying outflow boundary across northeast KS and northwestern MO. While the environment becomes gradually less unstable farther north and east, very strong shear will likely support a continued risk for all hazards this evening. The western portions of the risk area has been trimmed in parts of central KS where the cold front has sagged southward.