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The Atlantic Hurricane Basin typically begins to stir with activity after Independence Day. July can be the “ramp up” period to the busiest part of the hurricane season later in the summer.
On average, by the end of July, two named storms will form in the Atlantic Hurricane Basin. This includes the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean and the tropical north Atlantic. So far, Subtropical Storm Andrea with maximum winds at 35 mph is the only storm that has developed in the eastern Atlantic this year. Andrea continued the 5-year streak of tropical storms being named before the official June 1st start of hurricane season.
The total number of named storms from June to November averages to about 11. This would mean that in an average hurricane season, approximately one-fifth of the named storms stem from July’s activity.
Any storms that do form will likely develop in three regions of the Atlantic basin: The Gulf of Mexico and northern Caribbean, just east of the Leeward Islands and in an area of the western Atlantic stretching from the Bahamas north along the Florida coast and up to Cape Hatteras.
-------- Story Image: Story Image: Hurricane Chris strengthening in the Atlantic, off the coast of North Carolina, on July 10, 2018. (National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA/Wikimedia Commons)