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Rafael Weakens Over The Gulf of Mexico
November 10, 2024 at 10:39 AM EST
UPDATED by WeatherBug Meteorolgists

Tropical Storm Rafael continues to move through the central Gulf of Mexico and will remain over the open waters through at least this weekend.
As of 9 a.m. CST, Rafael was located near 26.3 N and 91.9 W, or about 370 miles north-northwest of Progreso, Mexico. Rafael's peak sustained winds measure in at 40 mph. It is moving north-northwest at 3 mph and has a minimum central pressure of 1003 mb, or 29.62 inches of mercury.
The forecast track of Rafael now appears to keep most of the storm over the central Gulf of Mexico through the end of weekend. On this track, Rafael will remain over warm waters but will encounter drier air and stronger wind shear. The latest information suggests Rafael will stall or slowly drift toward the south or southwest into the Bay of Campeche early this week before dissipating by midweek, but thankfully, Rafael is poised to remain over water.
November is not typically a month with a lot of hurricanes – typically a storm forms on average once per November. However, storms such as 2022’s Hurricane Nicole can still cause significant damage. Keep watching the tropics through the season’s end on November 30.
As of 9 a.m. CST, Rafael was located near 26.3 N and 91.9 W, or about 370 miles north-northwest of Progreso, Mexico. Rafael's peak sustained winds measure in at 40 mph. It is moving north-northwest at 3 mph and has a minimum central pressure of 1003 mb, or 29.62 inches of mercury.
The forecast track of Rafael now appears to keep most of the storm over the central Gulf of Mexico through the end of weekend. On this track, Rafael will remain over warm waters but will encounter drier air and stronger wind shear. The latest information suggests Rafael will stall or slowly drift toward the south or southwest into the Bay of Campeche early this week before dissipating by midweek, but thankfully, Rafael is poised to remain over water.
November is not typically a month with a lot of hurricanes – typically a storm forms on average once per November. However, storms such as 2022’s Hurricane Nicole can still cause significant damage. Keep watching the tropics through the season’s end on November 30.