Weather Alerts For Centennial, CO
Severe Storm Risk
-There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE OZARKS...WYOMING...AND UPPER OHIO VALLEY SUMMARY Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected through this evening across parts of the southern/central Plains, with large hail and severe winds possible. A more focused corridor of tornado potential may exist this afternoon/evening across northern Oklahoma and southern Kansas, where a strong tornado may occur. 20Z Update The primary change with this update was the addition of an Enhanced risk (driven by CIG1 wind) across parts of western OK, the eastern TX Panhandle, and far south-central KS. Thunderstorms are evolving across the OK Panhandle and vicinity, ahead of a surface low/triple point. Current expectation is for this activity and additional storms to track east-southeastward through a hot/well-mixed air mass -- favorable for strengthening/expanding cold pools with time. Around 40 kt of effective shear should promote a mix of organized clusters and supercells tracking east-southeastward into increasingly rich boundary-layer moisture and a nocturnally strengthening low-level jet. This evolution should favor a swath of severe/damaging wind gusts (some upwards of 75 mph or greater). A focused corridor of relatively greater tornado potential is possible across parts of southwest KS into northwest OK -- along a recovering outflow boundary. There was some consideration for higher tornado probabilities here, though confidence in the exact corridor was too low for the upgrade at this time. Elsewhere, only minor adjustments were made to the severe probabilities based on the latest convective and environmental trends.