Weather Alerts For Douglassville, TX
Severe Storm Risk
-There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS INTO SOUTHERN MINNESOTA CORRECTED FOR SPELLING ERROR SUMMARY Scattered severe storms capable of large hail and severe wind gusts are possible from the northern High Plains into parts of the Upper Midwest today into tonight. Isolated severe storms capable of mainly damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon and evening from the southern Mid-Atlantic into the Carolinas, the Sabine River Valley, parts of the Great Basin, and southeast Arizona. 20Z Update No major changes were made to the outlook with this update. In the wake of earlier convective overturning in north-central/northeast SD, cloud breaks are supporting diurnal heating and gradual boundary-layer recovery. This, combined with a strengthening low-level jet into this evening, will promote some northward movement of an east/west-oriented surface boundary currently draped across southern/central SD. This boundary may be the focus for a few supercells later this evening, though it is unclear if this activity will develop on the immediate cool side of the boundary or in the moist/unstable warm sector. If these storms can develop into the warm sector, they could pose a locally greater risk of large hail, damaging winds, and a couple tornadoes -- given ample low-level hodograph curvature. However, given a large component of boundary-parallel deep-layer shear and strengthening warm advection, storms may tend to grow upscale and pose mainly a severe-wind risk. Additionally, there is a scenario where a severe MCS could emerge from this activity or storms forming to the west as they track along/south of the boundary in the strongly unstable warm sector. However, confidence in this scenario is too low for higher severe-probabilities at this time.