Weather Alerts For Incline Village, NV
Severe Storm Risk
-There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MN INTO WESTERN WI...EASTERN NM/CO...KS...SOUTHWEST NE...AND NORTHWEST/NORTH-CENTRAL NV SUMMARY Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms may produce gusty winds and hail tonight across parts of the Upper Midwest and southern/central High Plains. Storms with localized severe gusts also remain possible across parts of northern Nevada and southeast Kansas. Southeast MN into WI Scattered strong to locally severe storms are ongoing this evening from parts of southeast MN into northwest WI. The regional environment is characterized by modest buoyancy (with MLCAPE of around 500 J/kg), but favorable deep-layer shear. A midlevel shortwave trough moving across MN will help to sustain convection through the evening, though a gradual weakening of already modest buoyancy will tend to diminish the severe threat with time. Localized hail and strong/damaging gusts remain possible with the strongest ongoing cells before storms weaken later this evening. Parts of south-central/southeast KS A small thunderstorm cluster has recently intensified north of Wichita, with reports of localized strong to severe gusts. This cluster may continue southeastward with a threat of localized severe gusts through dusk. See MCD 1207 for more information. Parts of NV Inverted-V profiles (as observed in the 00Z LKN sounding) will continue to support a threat of isolated severe gusts with high-based convection that will move across northwest/north-central NV into this evening. Some threat may reach the NV/OR/ID border region before nocturnal stabilization results in a general weakening trend. Parts of eastern NM/CO into northwest KS/southwest NE A thunderstorm cluster over east-central NM may continue to pose a threat of isolated hail and severe gusts early this evening, within an environment characterized by MLCAPE of around 1000 J/kg and modestly favorable deep-layer shear. Nocturnal cooling/stabilization should result in a weakening trend with time. Guidance continues to vary regarding potential for robust storm development across eastern CO through the evening. Forcing is generally weak, but MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg and moderate deep-layer shear will conditionally support organized convection, if any storms can be sustained. Later tonight, elevated convection may develop across parts of northwest KS/southwest NE, within a modest low-level warm advection regime. Guidance remains in poor agreement regarding the coverage (if any) and intensity of storms within this regime, but moderate elevated buoyancy and sufficient deep-layer shear could support a threat of isolated hail and localized strong to severe gusts. Parts of the Southeast Localized strong storms persist this evening across parts of the Southeast, within a very moist (PW greater than 2 inches) environment. Localized damaging gusts may accompany the strongest storms through sunset, but weak deep-layer shear and the effects of extensive convective overturning are expected to limit organized severe potential.