Weather Alerts For Leslie, MO

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN IOWA...NORTHERN MISSOURI AND WESTERN ILLINOIS SUMMARY Thunderstorms are expected to evolve into an extensive line this evening from Iowa to Oklahoma and northwest Texas, with the primary threats of large hail and damaging winds. A few tornadoes are also possible in any supercells that can form ahead of the line over parts of Iowa, Missouri, and central Illinois. 20z update KS, MO IA and IL Scattered thunderstorm development was ongoing this afternoon ahead of a weak surface low an associated cold front over the MO Valley. To the east, a broad and unstable warm sector exists south of a quasi-stationary front extending into eastern MO and IL. Moderate buoyancy and deep-layer shear will support a mix of supercells. Damaging winds and hail remain the most likely near the cold front as it moves eastward with a linear storm modes. A few tornadoes are also possible with more discrete cells and backed surface winds along the warm front farther east. The primary update to the forecast was to remove thunder and severe probabilities behind the cold front, otherwise the severe risk remains as is. Southern KS, OK and into TX Scattered to numerous thunderstorms remain likely this afternoon and evening along the advancing cold front from southern KS, across much of OK and ahead of a dryline into west-central TX. South of the primary upper trough and stronger flow aloft, overall forcing will be weaker. Still, forecast soundings and observation trends show moderate destabilization and sufficient deep-layer shear for supercells and organized clusters/line segments. Hail (some 2+ in) is possible with initial supercells before upscale growth is expected to take place with the surging cold front. A locally more favorable zone for large hail, damaging gusts and a tornado or two may develop across parts of central and southern OK if semi discrete supercells or stronger bowing structures can become organized/maintained this afternoon/evening. OH Valley A moist and unstable air mass will support scattered thunderstorms across the OH valley this afternoon. Isolated damaging gusts are possible with multi-cell storms/clusters amid modest vertical shear. Storms should weaken this evening with the loss of diurnal heating.

Pollen Index: 11.3 Pollen Level: high Predominant Pollen: Oak, Cedar/Juniper and Elm. The pollen levels for Saturday will be falling in the low range. The cause for the falling pollen levels is falling temperatures and heavy rains in the morning which tend to wash pollen out of the air. This will improve your outlook if you have allergies and enjoy the out of doors.