Weather Alerts For Melbourne Shores, FL
Lightning Alert
-Closest strike: 18.68 miles Storms Approaching Stay alert and frequently check WeatherBug to see if storms are moving toward you. Be mindful that new storms can also form with little notice.
Severe Storm Risk
-There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTH-CENTRAL FL PENINSULA SUMMARY A brief tornado and locally strong gusts remain possible, mainly through late evening across the south-central portion of the Florida Peninsula. South-central FL A convectively reinforced front has been sagging south across central FL over the past couple hours. The bulk of convection has weakened as it spread across the peninsula, with deeper/renewed updrafts holding off the Gulf Coast, southwest of Tampa Bay to west of Fort Myers. 23Z XMR and 00Z TBW soundings sampled less-than-moist adiabatic lapse rates through much of the troposphere, which will remain a limiting factor to intensification of convection over land. But strong deep-layer shear (effective bulk values in excess of 50 kts) and moderate low-level hodograph enhancement will maintain a low-probability tornado and strong wind gust threat through late evening. This may be focused near the juncture of the eastern Gulf convection with the undercutting boundary. With only minor large-scale ascent, offshore convection should wane overnight and severe potential across the peninsula should diminish. See MCD 2253 for additional short-term discussion.