Will El Nino Bring More Snow This Winter?
A very strong El Niño could shift the storm track this winter, but more moisture does not always mean more snow.
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Weather Alerts For Sag Harbor, NY
Rip Current Statement
-# HEADLINE -------------------- COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING # SUMMARY -------------------- MORICHES BAY AT EAST MORICHES NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.3 FT, MODERATE 5.3 FT, MAJOR 6.3 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.9 FT, MODERATE 2.9 FT, MAJOR 3.9 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 26/09 AM 4.9/ 5.4 2.5/ 3.0 2.3/ 2.8 2 MINOR 26/09 PM 4.2/ 4.7 1.8/ 2.2 1.8/ 2.2 2 MINOR 27/10 AM 4.2/ 4.7 1.9/ 2.3 1.7/ 2.2 1-2 MINOR 27/10 PM 3.2/ 3.7 0.8/ 1.3 0.9/ 1.4 1 NONE 28/11 AM 3.5/ 4.0 1.1/ 1.6 0.8/ 1.3 1 NONE 28/10 PM 2.7/ 3.2 0.4/ 0.9 0.6/ 1.1 0-1 NONE SHINNECOCK BAY AT PONQUOQUE NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.9 FT, MODERATE 5.9 FT, MAJOR 6.9 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.7 FT, MODERATE 2.7 FT, MAJOR 3.7 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 26/08 AM 6.2/ 6.7 3.0/ 3.5 2.7/ 3.2 2 MODERATE 26/08 PM 5.2/ 5.7 2.1/ 2.6 2.0/ 2.5 2 MINOR 27/08 AM 5.7/ 6.2 2.5/ 3.0 2.2/ 2.7 2 MODERATE 27/09 PM 4.4/ 4.9 1.2/ 1.7 1.1/ 1.6 1 NONE 28/09 AM 4.7/ 5.2 1.6/ 2.0 1.0/ 1.5 1 MINOR 28/09 PM 4.0/ 4.5 0.8/ 1.3 0.9/ 1.4 1 NONE FORT POND BAY AT MONTAUK NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.1 FT, MODERATE 4.9 FT, MAJOR 6.6 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.6 FT, MODERATE 2.4 FT, MAJOR 4.1 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 26/10 AM 5.2/ 5.7 2.7/ 3.2 2.0/ 2.5 0 MODERATE 26/11 PM 4.4/ 4.9 1.9/ 2.3 1.7/ 2.2 0 MINOR 27/10 AM 4.7/ 5.2 2.2/ 2.7 1.6/ 2.0 0 MODERATE 27/11 PM 3.6/ 4.1 1.1/ 1.6 0.9/ 1.4 0 NONE 28/11 AM 4.0/ 4.5 1.5/ 2.0 0.8/ 1.3 0 MINOR 28/11 PM 3.2/ 3.7 0.7/ 1.1 0.7/ 1.1 0 NONE PECONIC RIVER AT RIVERHEAD NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.7 FT, MODERATE 6.4 FT, MAJOR 7.2 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.3 FT, MODERATE 3.0 FT, MAJOR 3.8 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 26/12 PM 7.0/ 7.5 3.6/ 4.1 3.7/ 4.2 0 MAJOR 27/01 AM 6.4/ 6.9 3.0/ 3.5 3.5/ 4.0 0 MODERATE 27/12 PM 6.4/ 6.9 3.0/ 3.5 3.1/ 3.6 0 MODERATE 28/01 AM 5.0/ 5.5 1.6/ 2.0 2.2/ 2.7 0 NONE 28/01 PM 5.5/ 6.0 2.1/ 2.6 2.0/ 2.5 0 MINOR 29/02 AM 4.5/ 5.0 1.1/ 1.6 1.7/ 2.2 0 NONE # DETAILS -------------------- WHAT For the Coastal Flood Warning, one to two feet and locally up to 2 1/2 feet of inundation above ground level in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 7 to 14 feet in the surf zone. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. WHERE Southeast Suffolk County. WHEN For the Coastal Flood Warning, until 6 PM EDT Sunday. For the High Surf Advisory, until 8 PM EDT Sunday. For the High Rip Current Risk, through Sunday evening. COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS Widespread moderate to locally major flooding of vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline. The threat for major flooding is mainly for the north shore of the south fork and north shore of Fire Island due to additive wave action potentially exacerbating flooding. This will result in numerous road closures and cause widespread flooding of low lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes and businesses with basements near the waterfront. Vehicles parked in vulnerable areas near the waterfront will likely become flooded. Flooding will also extend inland from the waterfront along tidal rivers and bays. SHOREFRONT AND BEACH IMPACTS Breaking waves of 6 to 10 feet along with elevated water levels will result in widespread dune erosion and beach flooding. Localized overwashes are possible where dune structures are compromised, resulting in some flooding of roadways and vulnerable structures behind protective dunes. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Life threatening rip currents are likely for all people entering the surf zone. Anyone visiting the beaches should stay out of the surf. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. ISSUED AT Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 5:14 AM EDT ISSUED BY National Weather Service New York NY HEADER Coastal Hazard Message # PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS -------------------- Take the necessary actions to protect flood prone property. If travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to dangerous surf conditions. # AREAS AFFECTED -------------------- Southeast Suffolk
Coastal Flood Warning
-# HEADLINE -------------------- COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING # SUMMARY -------------------- MORICHES BAY AT EAST MORICHES NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.3 FT, MODERATE 5.3 FT, MAJOR 6.3 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.9 FT, MODERATE 2.9 FT, MAJOR 3.9 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 26/09 AM 4.9/ 5.4 2.5/ 3.0 2.3/ 2.8 2 MINOR 26/09 PM 4.2/ 4.7 1.8/ 2.2 1.8/ 2.2 2 MINOR 27/10 AM 4.2/ 4.7 1.9/ 2.3 1.7/ 2.2 1-2 MINOR 27/10 PM 3.2/ 3.7 0.8/ 1.3 0.9/ 1.4 1 NONE 28/11 AM 3.5/ 4.0 1.1/ 1.6 0.8/ 1.3 1 NONE 28/10 PM 2.7/ 3.2 0.4/ 0.9 0.6/ 1.1 0-1 NONE SHINNECOCK BAY AT PONQUOQUE NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.9 FT, MODERATE 5.9 FT, MAJOR 6.9 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.7 FT, MODERATE 2.7 FT, MAJOR 3.7 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 26/08 AM 6.2/ 6.7 3.0/ 3.5 2.7/ 3.2 2 MODERATE 26/08 PM 5.2/ 5.7 2.1/ 2.6 2.0/ 2.5 2 MINOR 27/08 AM 5.7/ 6.2 2.5/ 3.0 2.2/ 2.7 2 MODERATE 27/09 PM 4.4/ 4.9 1.2/ 1.7 1.1/ 1.6 1 NONE 28/09 AM 4.7/ 5.2 1.6/ 2.0 1.0/ 1.5 1 MINOR 28/09 PM 4.0/ 4.5 0.8/ 1.3 0.9/ 1.4 1 NONE FORT POND BAY AT MONTAUK NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.1 FT, MODERATE 4.9 FT, MAJOR 6.6 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.6 FT, MODERATE 2.4 FT, MAJOR 4.1 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 26/10 AM 5.2/ 5.7 2.7/ 3.2 2.0/ 2.5 0 MODERATE 26/11 PM 4.4/ 4.9 1.9/ 2.3 1.7/ 2.2 0 MINOR 27/10 AM 4.7/ 5.2 2.2/ 2.7 1.6/ 2.0 0 MODERATE 27/11 PM 3.6/ 4.1 1.1/ 1.6 0.9/ 1.4 0 NONE 28/11 AM 4.0/ 4.5 1.5/ 2.0 0.8/ 1.3 0 MINOR 28/11 PM 3.2/ 3.7 0.7/ 1.1 0.7/ 1.1 0 NONE PECONIC RIVER AT RIVERHEAD NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.7 FT, MODERATE 6.4 FT, MAJOR 7.2 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.3 FT, MODERATE 3.0 FT, MAJOR 3.8 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 26/12 PM 7.0/ 7.5 3.6/ 4.1 3.7/ 4.2 0 MAJOR 27/01 AM 6.4/ 6.9 3.0/ 3.5 3.5/ 4.0 0 MODERATE 27/12 PM 6.4/ 6.9 3.0/ 3.5 3.1/ 3.6 0 MODERATE 28/01 AM 5.0/ 5.5 1.6/ 2.0 2.2/ 2.7 0 NONE 28/01 PM 5.5/ 6.0 2.1/ 2.6 2.0/ 2.5 0 MINOR 29/02 AM 4.5/ 5.0 1.1/ 1.6 1.7/ 2.2 0 NONE # DETAILS -------------------- WHAT For the Coastal Flood Warning, one to two feet and locally up to 2 1/2 feet of inundation above ground level in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 7 to 14 feet in the surf zone. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. WHERE Southeast Suffolk County. WHEN For the Coastal Flood Warning, until 6 PM EDT Sunday. For the High Surf Advisory, until 8 PM EDT Sunday. For the High Rip Current Risk, through Sunday evening. COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS Widespread moderate to locally major flooding of vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline. The threat for major flooding is mainly for the north shore of the south fork and north shore of Fire Island due to additive wave action potentially exacerbating flooding. This will result in numerous road closures and cause widespread flooding of low lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes and businesses with basements near the waterfront. Vehicles parked in vulnerable areas near the waterfront will likely become flooded. Flooding will also extend inland from the waterfront along tidal rivers and bays. SHOREFRONT AND BEACH IMPACTS Breaking waves of 6 to 10 feet along with elevated water levels will result in widespread dune erosion and beach flooding. Localized overwashes are possible where dune structures are compromised, resulting in some flooding of roadways and vulnerable structures behind protective dunes. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Life threatening rip currents are likely for all people entering the surf zone. Anyone visiting the beaches should stay out of the surf. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. ISSUED AT Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 5:14 AM EDT ISSUED BY National Weather Service New York NY HEADER Coastal Hazard Message # PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS -------------------- Take the necessary actions to protect flood prone property. If travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to dangerous surf conditions. # AREAS AFFECTED -------------------- Southeast Suffolk
High Surf Advisory
-# HEADLINE -------------------- COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING # SUMMARY -------------------- MORICHES BAY AT EAST MORICHES NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.3 FT, MODERATE 5.3 FT, MAJOR 6.3 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.9 FT, MODERATE 2.9 FT, MAJOR 3.9 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 26/09 AM 4.9/ 5.4 2.5/ 3.0 2.3/ 2.8 2 MINOR 26/09 PM 4.2/ 4.7 1.8/ 2.2 1.8/ 2.2 2 MINOR 27/10 AM 4.2/ 4.7 1.9/ 2.3 1.7/ 2.2 1-2 MINOR 27/10 PM 3.2/ 3.7 0.8/ 1.3 0.9/ 1.4 1 NONE 28/11 AM 3.5/ 4.0 1.1/ 1.6 0.8/ 1.3 1 NONE 28/10 PM 2.7/ 3.2 0.4/ 0.9 0.6/ 1.1 0-1 NONE SHINNECOCK BAY AT PONQUOQUE NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.9 FT, MODERATE 5.9 FT, MAJOR 6.9 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.7 FT, MODERATE 2.7 FT, MAJOR 3.7 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 26/08 AM 6.2/ 6.7 3.0/ 3.5 2.7/ 3.2 2 MODERATE 26/08 PM 5.2/ 5.7 2.1/ 2.6 2.0/ 2.5 2 MINOR 27/08 AM 5.7/ 6.2 2.5/ 3.0 2.2/ 2.7 2 MODERATE 27/09 PM 4.4/ 4.9 1.2/ 1.7 1.1/ 1.6 1 NONE 28/09 AM 4.7/ 5.2 1.6/ 2.0 1.0/ 1.5 1 MINOR 28/09 PM 4.0/ 4.5 0.8/ 1.3 0.9/ 1.4 1 NONE FORT POND BAY AT MONTAUK NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.1 FT, MODERATE 4.9 FT, MAJOR 6.6 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.6 FT, MODERATE 2.4 FT, MAJOR 4.1 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 26/10 AM 5.2/ 5.7 2.7/ 3.2 2.0/ 2.5 0 MODERATE 26/11 PM 4.4/ 4.9 1.9/ 2.3 1.7/ 2.2 0 MINOR 27/10 AM 4.7/ 5.2 2.2/ 2.7 1.6/ 2.0 0 MODERATE 27/11 PM 3.6/ 4.1 1.1/ 1.6 0.9/ 1.4 0 NONE 28/11 AM 4.0/ 4.5 1.5/ 2.0 0.8/ 1.3 0 MINOR 28/11 PM 3.2/ 3.7 0.7/ 1.1 0.7/ 1.1 0 NONE PECONIC RIVER AT RIVERHEAD NY MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.7 FT, MODERATE 6.4 FT, MAJOR 7.2 FT MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.3 FT, MODERATE 3.0 FT, MAJOR 3.8 FT TOTAL TOTAL DEPARTURE DAY/TIME TIDE TIDE FROM NORM WAVES FLOOD FT MLLW FT MHHW FT FT IMPACT -------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 26/12 PM 7.0/ 7.5 3.6/ 4.1 3.7/ 4.2 0 MAJOR 27/01 AM 6.4/ 6.9 3.0/ 3.5 3.5/ 4.0 0 MODERATE 27/12 PM 6.4/ 6.9 3.0/ 3.5 3.1/ 3.6 0 MODERATE 28/01 AM 5.0/ 5.5 1.6/ 2.0 2.2/ 2.7 0 NONE 28/01 PM 5.5/ 6.0 2.1/ 2.6 2.0/ 2.5 0 MINOR 29/02 AM 4.5/ 5.0 1.1/ 1.6 1.7/ 2.2 0 NONE # DETAILS -------------------- WHAT For the Coastal Flood Warning, one to two feet and locally up to 2 1/2 feet of inundation above ground level in vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 7 to 14 feet in the surf zone. For the High Rip Current Risk, dangerous rip currents. WHERE Southeast Suffolk County. WHEN For the Coastal Flood Warning, until 6 PM EDT Sunday. For the High Surf Advisory, until 8 PM EDT Sunday. For the High Rip Current Risk, through Sunday evening. COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS Widespread moderate to locally major flooding of vulnerable areas near the waterfront and shoreline. The threat for major flooding is mainly for the north shore of the south fork and north shore of Fire Island due to additive wave action potentially exacerbating flooding. This will result in numerous road closures and cause widespread flooding of low lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes and businesses with basements near the waterfront. Vehicles parked in vulnerable areas near the waterfront will likely become flooded. Flooding will also extend inland from the waterfront along tidal rivers and bays. SHOREFRONT AND BEACH IMPACTS Breaking waves of 6 to 10 feet along with elevated water levels will result in widespread dune erosion and beach flooding. Localized overwashes are possible where dune structures are compromised, resulting in some flooding of roadways and vulnerable structures behind protective dunes. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Life threatening rip currents are likely for all people entering the surf zone. Anyone visiting the beaches should stay out of the surf. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. ISSUED AT Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 5:14 AM EDT ISSUED BY National Weather Service New York NY HEADER Coastal Hazard Message # PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS -------------------- Take the necessary actions to protect flood prone property. If travel is required, do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to dangerous surf conditions. # AREAS AFFECTED -------------------- Southeast Suffolk
Wind Advisory
-# HEADLINE -------------------- WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY # DETAILS -------------------- WHAT North winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. WHERE All of New York City and Long Island in southeast New York, and coastal and southeast Connecticut. WHEN Until 6 AM EDT Sunday. IMPACTS Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. ISSUED AT Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 4:40 AM EDT ISSUED BY National Weather Service New York NY HEADER URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE # PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS -------------------- Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. Secure outdoor objects. # AREAS AFFECTED -------------------- Southern New Haven, Southern Westchester, Southwest Suffolk, Bronx, Kings (Brooklyn), New York (Manhattan), Northeast Suffolk, Northern Middlesex, Northern Nassau, Northern New London, Northern Queens, Northwest Suffolk, Richmond (Staten Island), Southeast Suffolk, Southern Fairfield, Southern Middlesex, Southern Nassau, Southern New London, Southern Queens
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