Severe Storm Risk - Abernathy, TX

There is a Slight Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS SUMMARY Thunderstorms with hail and severe wind gusts are possible from Kansas/Missouri southwest into west Texas, mainly late this afternoon and evening. 20z Update central Plains and mid MS Valley Isolated convection may develop across portions of central KS late this afternoon/evening northeast of the effective triple point. Low-level moisture continues to rapidly advect northward across central KS but deep mixing will likely limit the extent of the more robust 60s F dewpoints. With moderate forecast MLCAPE (1500-2000 J/kg) amid veering wind profiles, isolated, high-based supercells remain possible, mainly with a large hail and damaging wind risk. Additional storms are also possible later tonight at the terminus of a forecast 40-50 kt low-level jet across far eastern KS into MO. It remains unclear if these storms will be robustly organized, but some risk for hail and damaging winds may exist. Wind and hail probabilities were expanded slightly eastward to capture this threat. Southern and central High Plains High-based showers and a few thunderstorms have begun developing and should gradually increase in coverage this afternoon. Weak buoyancy (500-1000 J/kg MUCAPE) atop a very deep mixed layer is evident on 12 and 18z area RAOBs supporting the risk for damaging/severe gusts. A few stronger high-based storms could also produce marginally severe hail across parts of western KS where buoyancy is somewhat better. See MCD#718 for additional short term information.