Severe Storm Risk - Amery, WI

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SUMMARY Thunderstorms with isolated severe gusts and hail will be possible early this evening from parts of southeast Minnesota into western and northern Wisconsin. Wisconsin/Far Southeast Minnesota On water vapor imagery, a subtle shortwave trough is currently moving through the upper Mississippi Valley. At the surface, a 1009 mb low is analyzed across far northern Wisconsin with a cold front extending southwestward into the mid Missouri Valley. A southwest-to-northeast corridor of low-level moisture is located ahead of the front, along which surface dewpoints are in the 50s to near 60 F. Near this axis, the RAP has MLCAPE in the 500 to 1200 J/kg range. The instability, along with lift associated with a 40 to 50 knot low-level jet, and large-scale ascent ahead of the shortwave trough will continue to be favorable for convective development this evening. The low-level jet combined with 60 to 70 knots of mid-level west-southwesterly flow is creating strong deep-layer shear, which will support a localized severe threat early this evening. Cells that exhibit rotation could be capable of isolated severe wind gusts and hail. However, the mode has transitioned to mostly linear suggesting that any threat will be marginal early this evening...see MCD 2417.