Severe Storm Risk - Auburn, FL

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INTO SOUTHERN OREGON SUMMARY Isolated severe storms are possible across parts of the Southeast today. A few severe storms will also be possible from the Sacramento and northern San Joaquin Valleys to coastal areas of northern California and southwest Oregon. 20z Update Southeast Overall, only minor changes were made to the prior outlook. Severe and thunder probabilities were cleared west of a cluster of thunderstorms ongoing along the northern Gulf Coast from southern AL/GA into northern FL. Located ahead of a weak cold front, the environment east of these storms is expected gradually become more stable owing to remnant cloud cover/precipitation. Still, 500-1000 J/kg of MLCAPE and ~40 kt of deep-layer shear will remain sufficient for occasional stronger/organized updrafts. Isolated hail, damaging gusts or a brief tornado are possible, especially with any more persistent supercell structures able to develop over southern GA and the FL Panhandle. CA Several stronger convective elements remain near the coast or just onshore beneath a strengthening shortwave trough over northern CA and southern OR. Cool mid-level temperatures (-25C) and strong frontal forcing will continue to support low-topped storms through this afternoon. Large-low-level hodographs and strong southwesterly flow aloft will support an isolated risk for damaging gusts, and perhaps a brief tornado with any rotating miniature supercell or QLCS structures moving onshore. Storms should weaken as the cold front and upper trough move onshore completely this evening. Farther south, strong ascent, from the aforementioned trough, and modest surface heating are supporting weak destabilization over the northern San Joaquin Valley. Favorable low-level hodograph curvature and buoyancy could support an isolated low-topped supercell capable of a brief tornado this afternoon. See the prior outlook for additional info.