Severe Storm Risk - Cassandra, PA
Severe Storm Risk
-There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS SUMMARY Severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts, large hail and tornado potential will continue across the southern and central Plains this evening and overnight. Strong storms are also possible from parts of the Ohio Valley, central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic. 01Z Update Severe thunderstorms with a history of damaging winds are currently located across southwest Oklahoma. This complex will continue to move northeast this evening, aided by mesoscale circulations associated with a mesolow/MCV across western Oklahoma. As the low-level jet increases this evening, an increase in tornado potential will be possible across portions of Tornado Watch #86. See Mesoscale Discussion #325 for more information. Elsewhere, clusters of strong-to-severe thunderstorms will be possible across southeast Kansas into southwest Missouri along a surface boundary. Although deep-layer shear is somewhat less than areas to the south and west, the presence of a low-level boundary, an increasing low-level jet, and sufficient low-level instability will continue to support some severe potential -- including tornadoes -- for several more hours. A hail and wind threat will also persist for several more hours across southwest Texas where MUCAPE values between 1000-1500 J/kg and deep-layer shear around 40 knots will support at least some supercell threat.