Severe Storm Risk - Copan, OK
Severe Storm Risk
-There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF OREGON...THE CENTRAL VALLEY OF CALIFORNIA...THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN PLAINS/OZARKS SUMMARY Thunderstorms with isolated large hail and severe gusts remain possible this afternoon and evening across parts of the south-central Plains to the Ozarks. Strong to locally severe storms may also occur from western/northern Nevada into southeast Oregon and southwest Idaho, and also across parts of north-central California. 20z Update Minimal changes were made to the prior outlook. A prominent differential heating/outflow boundary associated with a cluster of thunderstorms over OK is forecast to continue sagging southward this afternoon. An increase in storm coverage is possible this afternoon and evening associated with the ongoing cluster and the trailing boundary. With moderate buoyancy weak vertical shear, a low-end risk for damaging gusts and hail could develop. 5% wind and hail probabilities have been expanded slightly farther southeastward. To the West across the Great Basin, strong mid-level ascent ahead of the upper low over the Pacific Coast was overspreading a marginally moist and buoyant air mass across parts of NV. Strong southerly flow aloft could support a few semi-organized storms or clusters capable of damaging gusts and sporadic hail. 5% wind and hail probabilities have been expanded southward over parts of NV where buoyancy and shear overlap could support some severe potential. Otherwise, isolated severe storms remain possible across parts of the central Valley of CA and western OR. The forecast remains unchanged, see the prior discussion for more information.