Severe Storm Risk - Denver International Airport, CO
Severe Storm Risk
-There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT FROM THE EASTERN DAKOTAS INTO NORTHERN NEBRASKA SUMMARY Thunderstorms with large hail, severe wind gusts, and a few tornadoes will be possible this afternoon and evening in parts of the northern Plains. More sporadic occurrences of large hail and severe wind gusts appear possible across parts of the central High Plains and southwest Texas into southern New Mexico. Northern/central Plains Only minor changes to the outlook. Thunderstorm development is underway from north central SD into central ND along a surface front/differential heating zone, and in advance of an embedded mid-upper speed max. Surface temperatures of 75-80 F with dewpoints of 58-64 F are driving MLCAPE of 1000-2000 J/kg, while deep-layer vertical shear/hodograph length will be sufficient for supercells initially. Low-level shear and hodograph curvature will be large enough for a few tornadoes with the initial supercells, along with isolated very large hail in excess of 2 inches in diameter. Upscale growth into line segments is expected by this evening, with an attendant increase in the threat for severe outflow gusts, prior to the storms moving east of the primary buoyancy corridor. Farther south, vertical shear is weaker and storms will tend more toward multicell clusters with some transient supercell structures capable of producing sporadic downbursts and large hail. Other storm clustering is expected toward southwest KS, to the immediate east of an MCV.