Severe Storm Risk - Due West, SC

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA SUMMARY Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening from eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys/southern Appalachians. Supercells capable of all hazards will be possible across portions of central/southern Mississippi and central Alabama before a shift to a more of a damaging wind risk into the late evening/overnight. 20z Update The primary forecast update was a reduction in severe probabilities across portions of central/eastern TX and across the Mid-South in the wake of the surface cold front. Latest regional radar mosaic shows the early stages of deepening convection across far eastern TX into central LA as low-level moisture continues to deepen (per 18z RAOBs). This activity is expected to gradually intensify through late afternoon amid filtered diurnal heating that should continue to erode lingering MLCIN. Strong deep-layer wind shear (sampled in regional VWPs and 18 UTC RAOBs) should maintain the severe threat through the evening hours. Confidence severe thunderstorms remains highest across southern MS where convection originating in central LA will likely track and intensify within a favorable environment (where STP values will increase to 2-3 by late afternoon) prior to undercutting by the cold front later this evening.