Severe Storm Risk - Gulf Islands Natl Seashore, FL

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS SUMMARY Severe thunderstorms remain likely across parts of the central Plains mainly this afternoon and evening. Large to very large hail, severe winds (some 75+ mph), and a few tornadoes are possible. 20z Update WY/NE/CO/KS Scattered severe storms are likely over much of the central High Plains this afternoon and evening. Incipient convection is developing over the higher terrain/foothills and should spread eastward into a moist and destabilizing air mass. Aided by strong ascent from an upper trough and mid-level jet (observed via 18z RAOBs), supercells and organized clusters remain likely. All hazards are expected, with a focus for a few more persistent supercells and a strong tornado or two along a notable differential heating axis in southwestern NE. With time upscale growth into and MCS is likely tonight with a risk for damaging winds into the central Plains. Minor adjustments were made to the probabilities for the latest observed trends. For short term information see MCD #1212. Great Basin Scattered thunderstorms have developed over parts of NV and southern ID along a diffuse frontal zone. While moisture is limited, enough instability beneath the passing upper trough will support the potential for a few severe gusts. 5% wind probabilities were extended westward. See MCD #1213 for more info. Southeast Scattered to widespread thunderstorms continue across much of the Gulf Coast and Southeast States this afternoon. Sporadic damaging gusts remain possible with the stronger clusters across northern FL and southern LA. Weak shear will preclude much if any storm organization. 5% wind probabilities were adjusted to better match damaging wind potential.