Severe Storm Risk - Hartley, IA

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN/CENTRAL IA AND FAR NORTHWEST MO SUMMARY Strong to severe storms remain possible tonight across parts of the central Plains and Midwest, with the greatest remaining threat expected from western into central Iowa. Western/northern KS into southeastern NE/IA/northwest MO A broken band of thunderstorms is ongoing this evening from western KS into eastern NE and western IA. The western portion of this band may pose a localized severe-wind threat through dusk across western/northern KS, in the presence of a remnant well-mixed boundary layer and moderate deep-layer flow. Farther east, a narrow corridor of rich low-level moisture and moderate buoyancy resides from northeast KS/northwest MO into far southeast NE and southwest IA. Low-level shear/SRH remains locally enhanced across in the vicinity of the effective warm front, conditionally supporting tornadic supercell potential. However, ongoing convection has already become outflow dominant, and residual downstream MLCINH may continue to limit surface-based supercell potential this evening. Even if tornado potential does not evolve, the environment otherwise remains favorable for damaging winds and isolated hail as storms move eastward through the evening. Convection will become increasingly elevated with eastward extent late tonight, though the strongest cells/clusters may remain capable of producing isolated hail and localized strong/damaging gusts into the early morning hours. Other bands or clusters of elevated storms will also be possible in the wake of earlier convection across the central Plains, with moderate elevated buoyancy potentially supporting a brief/localized severe threat overnight.