Severe Storm Risk - Hellier, KY

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS SUMMARY Isolated damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon from parts of the Southeast into the southern and central Appalachians. An isolated risk for large hail and severe gusts is forecast over parts of the Texas South Plains later today. Southeast/Southern and Central Appalachians Radar mosaic this morning shows a parade of three MCVs moving eastward over the OH Valley into the central Appalachians primarily to the immediate cool side of a cold front. This front will aid in focusing storm development today over the northern portion of the Marginal Risk where slightly stronger flow fields are expected (i.e., KY-WV-VA). By afternoon, the front is forecast to be positioned from northern Mississippi northeastward to western Virginia. Ahead of the front, a moist airmass will be in place with surface dewpoints in the upper 60s to lower 70s F from the lower Mississippi Valley northeastward into WV. As moderate buoyancy develops by early to mid afternoon, scattered to numerous single and multicell thunderstorms are expected to form. A few of the stronger downdrafts will likely yield a threat for strong to locally severe gusts (50 to 60 mph) and pockets of wind damage before weakening by the early evening. TX South Plains A mid to upper-level ridge will gradually shift eastward over the southern High Plains during the period as an upper trough over eastern OK this morning continues eastward and becomes increasingly displaced from west TX. A frontal zone and residual outflow will become draped over the TX South Plains during the afternoon. Model guidance indicates at least scattered storms developing within a moist plume extending west-northwestward into the Caprock/South Plains vicinity during peak heating. A couple of stronger thunderstorms may yield an isolated risk for large hail/severe gusts before dissipating during the evening.