Severe Storm Risk - Intracoastal City, LA

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO FAR NORTHERN TEXAS SUMMARY Severe thunderstorms with very large to giant hail (2 to 4+ inches in diameter), tornadoes (some EF2+), and scattered damaging winds are expected late this afternoon through tonight across parts of the southern Plains and ArkLaTex. 20Z Update The previous forecast (see below) remains on track. The main adjustments made to the outlook (albeit minor) were to slightly extend the moderate risk-driven hail probabilities to the southwest to align with the current position of the surface boundary. The latest high-resolution guidance consensus has consistently depicted some of the most robust storms to form and anchor along this boundary. With current mesoanalysis already showing 4000+ J/kg MLCAPE colocated across far south-central OK, the current thinking is that intense supercells traversing this boundary will produce severe hail in the 3-4 inch range, and a couple of stones above 4 inches in diameter cannot be completely ruled out. Tornadoes may also occur, with the best chance of a strong to intense tornado being with a boundary-anchoring supercell that can remain discrete and dominant.