Severe Storm Risk - Mississippi State, MS

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER PARTS OF WEST TX AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA SUMMARY Thunderstorms with large hail and severe gusts are possible late this afternoon into the evening in parts of the southern High Plains. A few brief tornadoes are also possible across the Mid South. TX/OK A weak upper trough is moving across CO today, with the tail end of large scale forcing spreading across the TX Panhandle. At the surface, southeasterly winds will maintain a moist air mass into the region, where a dryline will become the focus for afternoon thunderstorm development. Weak mid-level winds of 20-30 knots suggest that storms will be a mix of multicell and supercell structures capable of large hail and damaging winds. Merging outflows are expected as activity spreads eastward into western OK and eventually north TX tonight, with a continued risk of locally damaging winds. Northeast NE/KS/Northwest OK A cold front is sagging southeastward into KS/NE, where a moist and moderately unstable air mass will be present this afternoon. Scattered thunderstorms are expected along/ahead of the front, with a low-end risk of hail in the stronger cells. TN/MS/AL/GA A broad area of moderately strong southerly low-level winds are present today over parts of the Mid-South and TN Valley, along with a very moist air mass with dewpoints in the 70s. Forecast soundings show rather weak CAPE, but sufficient low-level shear for some concern for tornadoes today. There have been occasional mesocyclones in the thunderstorms in this region, and that will likely continue through the afternoon as the low-level jet shifts northward into northern AL/middle TN. Overall confidence in the tornado threat suggests the threat remains Marginal, but a tactical upgrade to portions of the area remains possible this afternoon.