Severe Storm Risk - Old Town, FL

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH DAKOTA...NEBRASKA...AND NORTHERN KANSAS SUMMARY Thunderstorms with severe wind gusts and isolated large hail are forecast this afternoon and evening across parts of the central and northern Plains, but especially across parts of South Dakota, Nebraska, and north-central Kansas. Isolated severe wind gusts may also occur across parts of the Southeast. 20Z Update The forecast remains on track, and only minor changes were made with this update. The eastern edge of the SLGT Risk was trimmed in portions of eastern SD and northeastern NE. Here, persistent convection within a weak warm-advection regime preceding a remnant MCV will limit air mass recovery and temper the overall severe risk this afternoon. Farther west, a minor expansion of the SLGT Risk was made over southwestern SD and western NE, where ample boundary-layer heating/destabilization of a moist air mass is underway along/ahead of a well-defined surface trough/wind shift. Any thunderstorms that develop and track southeastward through this corridor will pose a risk of large hail initially, with an increasing risk of severe wind gusts as storms grow upscale. Finally, the SLGT Risk was expanded slightly southeastward in far southeastern NE and northeastern KS. The latest high-resolution guidance is in good agreement, depicting one or more organized line segments tracking southeastward tonight. Despite increasing nocturnal PBL cooling/stabilization ahead of this activity, a strengthening 30-40-kt southerly LLJ should help maintain a risk of damaging wind gusts into overnight hours. For additional details on the severe risk through the afternoon, see Severe Thunderstorm Watch 533, and MCDs 1803 and 1804.