Severe Storm Risk - Park City Mountain Resort, UT
Severe Storm Risk
-There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SUMMARY Severe thunderstorms are likely across parts of the central Plains mainly this afternoon and evening. Large to very large hail, severe winds (some 75+ mph), and a few tornadoes are possible. Central Plains Water vapor imagery shows a shortwave trough over ID/UT tracking eastward toward the central High Plains. Southerly/southeasterly low-level winds ahead of this feature over parts of eastern CO/western NE/KS will help to maintain a moist and moderately unstable air mass across the region, especially as low clouds continue to burn off and afternoon heating commences. Scattered thunderstorm development is expected by mid-afternoon over central WY down into central CO in favored terrain/convergence areas. This activity will spread eastward into a progressively more moist/unstable air mass and intensify into supercells. A corridor of favorable vertical shear will develop later today from northeast CO into southwest NE/northwest KS for isolated tornadoes. Otherwise, very large hail and damaging winds will be the main concerns. Activity is likely to organize upscale during the evening and spread across KS with a damaging wind risk persisting much of the night. Southeast A very moist and moderately unstable air mass is present again today over much of the southeast US. Most CAM solutions suggest scattered afternoon thunderstorms across this area, including along the FL east coast. Dewpoints in the 70s and PWAT values around 2 inches, coupled with strong daytime heating and steep low-level lapse rates suggest a risk of locally gusty/damaging wind gusts in the most intense cores.