Severe Storm Risk - Rincon, GA

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN MINNESOTA SUMMARY Severe thunderstorms are expected today across the Dakotas, Upper Midwest and Middle Missouri Valley, including damaging winds, large hail and a few tornadoes this afternoon through tonight. Dakotas/Mid-Missouri Valley/Upper Midwest Of short-term focus/concern, is a long-lived storm cluster across north-central Minnesota that has begun to grow upscale again to the north of a warm front. Damaging winds and large hail will be prominent concerns this afternoon, and tornado potential may increase particularly with southern flank development near the warm front. For additional short-term details, see Mesoscale Discussion 1379. Later this afternoon, a very moist airmass will become very unstable over parts of the central Plains into the Upper Midwest, including recovery in the wake of the early day storm complex across Minnesota. While lesser instability is expected north-northwestward into North Dakota, more modest buoyancy and long hodographs will support severe storms. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast by afternoon/early evening as large-scale ascent associated with the approaching upper wave overspreads the region. Ample deep-layer shear coupled with the large buoyancy will favor supercells. Large to very large hail, a couple of tornadoes, and severe wind gusts will be possible with this surface-based activity, especially as storms grow upscale this evening and progress into/across parts of Iowa/Minnesota. Kansas/Oklahoma/Texas Isolated high-based thunderstorms are possible near the dryline. Moderate instability is expected within this region with generally weak deep layer shear. Strong evaporatively cooled downdrafts will be capable of severe wind gusts with the more intense cores. Southern Appalachians and parts of Georgia/Florida Strong to locally severe storms capable of downbursts will be possible within a moist/unstable environment this afternoon, with some degree of storm organization possible as aided by a modestly stronger belt of northeasterly flow aloft.