Severe Storm Risk - Sarcoxie, MO

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF OKLAHOMA SUMMARY Scattered severe storms capable of large hail and severe gusts are possible from southeast Kansas through much of central and eastern Oklahoma into north Texas this afternoon into tonight. More sparse occurrences of large hail and damaging winds are possible across the Ozarks, central and south Texas, and the Gulf Coast states. Central Plains Visible-satellite imagery late this morning shows the northern periphery of stratus and stratocumulus across southwest OK and a more extensive stratus field over central and north TX. These clouds generally coincide with surface observations and GPS PW of richer moisture returning northward ahead of a mid-level shortwave trough over western KS that is forecast to move southeastward into southeast KS and OK by early evening. Strong heating ahead of a southeastward-moving cold front and 50s dewpoints will yield MLCAPE 1000-1500 J/kg by mid afternoon. Model guidance continues to indicate initial cellular activity evolving into a band of storms along the front and pushing south-southeast this evening. Forecast soundings will support supercells early before coalescing cold pools promote upscale growth into a linear cluster. Supercell development will subsequently favor anchoring updrafts on the southwest extent of the developing convection. Severe gusts along with some lingering hail risk will probably continue into the late evening and overnight but diminish in overall magnitude/coverage of severe as this activity moves into north TX and the Arklatex. Central Gulf Coast Clusters of showers and thunderstorms are ongoing this morning along/north of a surface boundary that extends from southeast TX along the Gulf Coast into north FL. Storms are expected to increase in coverage during the afternoon along the front, with a few strong to severe cells expected. A mix of hail/wind will be possible with the stronger thunderstorms.