Severe Storm Risk - Sunfield, MI

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EAST/SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...WESTERN KENTUCKY...AND NORTHWEST TENNESSEE SUMMARY Numerous severe thunderstorms are expected from the mid Mississippi/lower Ohio Valleys into the Mid-South through this evening, with a threat for multiple strong to intense tornadoes (EF3+), widespread severe/damaging wind gusts, and scattered large to very large hail. 20z Update Only minor adjustments were made to extend the Marginal Risk back into southeastern Kansas/northeastern Oklahoma to account for storms initiating over the last hour. The Moderate Risk remains unchanged with this update. The morning MCS is now moving through eastern Illinois/southern Indiana. Further west in Missouri and western Illinois, modifying remnant outflow remains near the St. Louis Metro. Cumulus south of this boundary across southeastern Missouri into southern Illinois, cumulus within the warm sector is deepening. Increasing MLCAPE/steepening lapse rates are nosing northward in southern central Missouri and south-central Illinois. Just to the west of the Mississippi River, radar shows occasional attempts at initiation within the open warm sector. While the details continue to evolve, it likely that a corridor of conditional threat for strong-intense tornadoes will develop from the Missouri Bootheel into southern Illinois/western Kentucky. Within this region strong daytime heating has led to a volatile air mass, with moderate to strong MLCAPE 2000-3000 J/kg and strong deep layer shear. VAD profiles frm PAH (Paducah, KY) and LSX (St. Louis, MO) indicate a rich SRH environment of around 200-300 m2/s2 in the 0-1 km layer. It is likely that supercells capable of all hazards, including strong-intense tornadoes, large to very large hail, and damaging winds. Will develop across this region soon. See MCD571 for additional information. The conditional threat for strong tornadoes will extend as far south as the Arklatex into portions of western Tennessee. Through time, storm mode will shift to become linear with the southward moving front, which will bring an increase into the evening of damaging wind threat. Line embedded tornadoes, some of which may be strong, will continue to be a threat into the evening.