Severe Storm Risk - Thomson, GA

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO NORTH FLORIDA AND FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA SUMMARY Widely scattered severe storms capable of damaging winds and a brief tornado are possible through the mid afternoon across the Florida Panhandle into north Florida and far southern Georgia. Isolated strong to severe storms are also possible in parts of the Carolinas, as well as south-central Texas. FL Panhandle into north FL and far southern GA A mid-level vorticity lobe over the Mid South is forecast to rapidly move east and reach the NC Outer Banks by mid evening. Late morning satellite/radar imagery shows a broken band of strong to severe thunderstorms ahead of a cold front and draped west-southwest to east-northeast. A moist and fully modified boundary layer extends from the northeast Gulf into the FL Panhandle and Big Bend with notably drier air over interior north FL. Convergence along the front is forecast to weaken late today into tonight as a weak low over the Carolinas shifts offshore. However, the prefrontal airmass will remain moist, moderately unstable, and strongly sheared (50+ kt effective shear) across the FL Panhandle vicinity through the mid afternoon. Embedded cells within the bands will potentially be capable of wind damage and perhaps a brief tornado before this activity gradually weakens as it moves into a less-buoyant regime farther east of north FL. Carolinas Some thinning of cloud cover and modest heating ahead of the cold front will yield weak buoyancy prior to the front clearing the coast later today. Weak low-level lapse rates will tend to limit the overall severe risk (i.e., localized wind damage potential). However, will maintain low wind probabilities this outlook update due to the possibility for a couple of deeper updrafts to organize within a region with strong deep-layer wind fields. Edwards Plateau into the Lower Rio Grande Valley Elevated buoyancy will likely persist throughout the day with a few stronger updrafts intermittently developing over the Hill Country and Edwards Plateau. Strong deep-layer vertical shear (i.e. effective bulk shear from 50 to 60 kt) and 1000+ J/kg MUCAPE may support the potential for an isolated risk for marginally severe hail. Farther south and displaced away from the higher terrain, very low thunderstorm coverage is expected despite a modifying and more moist airmass. Have trimmed hail probabilities over this region due to the lack of storm coverage in the latest model guidance.