Severe Storm Risk - Tioga, WV

There is a Slight Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AS WELL AS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN KANSAS AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUMMARY Clusters of storms will move across parts of the Allegheny Plateau into the Mid-Atlantic, with potential for numerous damaging wind gusts. Additional severe thunderstorms are expected across the Great Plains this afternoon and evening, posing a risk for severe wind gusts and large hail. Mid Atlantic A hot summer day is forecast across the Mid Atlantic region today with temperatures well into the 90s and dewpoints ranging from the mid 60-lower 70s F. Full sun will result in steep low-level lapse rates and high CAPE values beneath moderately strong northwest mid-level flow. Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop along/east of the Blue Ridge and spread eastward across parts of PA/VA/NJ/DE through the late afternoon and evening. Parameters remain favorable for downburst winds in these clusters of storms. PA/NY into southern New England A weak shortwave trough and associated mid level speed max is rotating southeastward out of Ontario/Quebec into the northeast US. Ample low-level moisture and pockets of moderate CAPE will result in widely scattered afternoon thunderstorm development from northern PA into central NY. These storms will spread southeastward into southern New England by early evening. The strongest cells will pose a risk of damaging wind gusts. IL/IN A remnant MCV from overnight convection is analyzed over eastern IA, with a surface boundary extending eastward just south of CHI. The air mass to the south of the boundary across IL will become very unstable by mid-afternoon, leading to scattered thunderstorms. Favorable thermodynamic parameters suggest a risk of damaging winds as these storms organize and track into IN by evening. KS/MO An ongoing cluster of strong/severe storms is affecting eastern KS. Given the moist and unstable air mass to the east and sufficient mesoscale organization, it is probable that this cluster will persist into the afternoon. Storms will track into western MO with a continued risk of locally damaging wind gusts. KS/OK/AR In the wake of the aforementioned cluster of storms, new development is likely later this afternoon along the remnant outflow boundary across southern KS and northern OK. High CAPE values to the south of the boundary will promote the ENH risk of damaging winds and some hail as storms build southeastward across central/eastern OK and into western AR this evening. TX Panhandle A weak surface boundary will be the focus for scattered late afternoon thunderstorms over the southern/eastern TX Panhandle. The strongest cells may produce damaging wind gusts and large hail for a few hours. Northeast CO Southerly low level winds will maintain dewpoints in at least the 40s over parts of eastern CO this afternoon despite strong heating/mixing. This will be sufficient to allow scattered thunderstorms to form along the foothills and DCVZ. A few severe cells are possible with large hail being the main risk. MN/SD Similar to yesterday, a few afternoon and early evening thunderstorms are expected to develop ahead of a weak shortwave trough. The strongest cells might produce large hail or gusty winds.