Weather Alerts For Brantley, AL

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES SUMMARY Severe thunderstorms are expected this evening from parts of the southern Plains eastward into the lower Mississippi Valley and central Gulf Coast states. Large hail will be the primary threat in the southern Plains. Wind damage and large hail will be possible in the parts of the lower Mississippi Valley and central Gulf Coast states. Southern Plains Westerly mid-level flow is in place over much of the southern Plains this evening. At the surface, a cold front is located over the Texas Hill Country extending westward toward the Big Bend. To the south of the front, surface dewpoints in the 70s F are contributing to strong instability over much of south-central and southwest Texas, where the RAP has MLCAPE in the 3500 to 5000 J/kg range. To the north of the instability max, a robust supercell is ongoing in the western Texas Hill Country. Large to very large hail will continue to be possible with this supercell as it moves southeastward across south-central Texas this evening. Other supercells with potential for large to very large hail may develop a further west and southwest toward the Rio Grande this evening. Lower Mississippi Valley/Central Gulf Coast States Current water vapor imagery shows evidence of a subtle shortwave trough over east Texas. At the surface, a cold front is located in east Texas extending eastward into central Mississippi. To the south of the front, surface dewpoints are mostly in the 70s F, which is contributing to moderate instability. The axis of instability is located from southeast Texas eastward into southern Mississippi. Short-term model forecasts suggest that a severe convective cluster may develop this evening ahead of the shortwave trough over east Texas and move east-southeastward along the instability gradient into western Louisiana. If this cluster does materialize, then it will likely be associated with a potential for large hail and wind damage. Otherwise, convection that develops near the instability axis in the central Gulf Coast states this evening will have a potential for isolated severe gusts...see MCD 623. Further north into parts of northeast Mississippi and north-central Alabama, an axis of moderate instability is analyzed by the RAP with MLCAPE in the 1500 to 2500 J/kg range. This combined with steep mid-level lapse rates will support an isolated severe threat this evening. Severe wind gusts and hail will be the primary threats...see MCD 625.