Weather Alerts For Canyon Lake Forest, TX

There is a Slight Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF TEXAS SUMMARY Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are possible today into evening mainly across parts of Texas and perhaps other nearby parts of the southern Plains. More isolated severe storms may occur across portions of the Upper Great Lakes and northern Rockies. Texas/Southern Plains A rather complex scenario exists early today attributable to several factors including an MCS that de-intensified/decayed generally near I-35 in Texas overnight, with residual cloud cover and outflow impacts. Potentially focused in vicinity of outflow, the passing mid-level wave and persistent warm/moist advection may support storm persistence and redevelopment/intensification later today across central Texas into parts of east Texas and possibly Louisiana within a moderately unstable environment. In the wake of the mid-level wave, mid-level height rises/subsidence are otherwise anticipated coincident with the dryline from central Kansas south-southwestward across western Oklahoma and west/southwest Texas. The extent and likelihood of storm development later today is highly uncertain, but if/where storms do form, the environment would generally be supportive of supercells and related hazards given ample buoyancy and moderate deep-layer shear. Minnesota/Wisconsin A surface low over the northern Plains will migrate eastward along the U.S./Canadian border through the day, reaching northern Minnesota by around peak heating. A narrow tongue of returning moisture may support a corridor of sufficient ascent and buoyancy for deep convection. A few surface-based supercells could occur along the frontal zone where dewpoints may reach into the mid/upper 50s F. While this potential appears low/uncertain per latest guidance, some tornado threat could materialize along the front. Hail/wind will otherwise be possible regionally on an isolated basis. Northern Rockies Ahead of an approaching upper wave, mid-level moisture will support another day of fairly modest surface-based buoyancy with persistent 30-40 knot flow within the CAPE-bearing layer. Combined with somewhat deep boundary-layer mixing, this may support strong to severe downburst winds with the more robust convective cells, mainly this afternoon through early evening.