Weather Alerts For Coltons Point, MD

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC...AND ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS SUMMARY Thunderstorms with severe wind gusts will be possible this evening from parts of the Ohio Valley into the Mid-Atlantic. Thunderstorms with isolated severe gusts and hail will be possible in parts of the High Plains. Ohio Valley/Central Appalachians/Mid-Atlantic On water vapor imagery, a mid-level shortwave trough is evident in the Ohio Valley within west-northwest flow. This feature is moving into the central Appalachians where surface dewpoints are mostly in the upper 60s and lower 70s F. Moderate instability is analyzed by the RAP across much of the region. Low-level convergence is maximized along a pre-frontal trough in the Mid-Atlantic where isolated strong thunderstorms are ongoing. A secondary max of convergence is located from central Kentucky into western West Virginia, along which an organized line segment is ongoing. These storm clusters are expected to persist for a few more hours. Ahead of the ongoing storms, the WSR-88D VWPs at Jackson, Kentucky and Blacksburg, Virginia have 0-6 km shear of about 30 knots with nearly unidirectional west to northwesterly winds in the low to mid-levels. The 00Z sounding at Roanoke, Virginia has MLCAPE around 2200 J/kg, with 0-3 km lapse rates near 7.5 C/km. This environment will support a potential for severe wind gusts with the stronger cells this evening. Further west into the mid Mississippi Valley, strong thunderstorms are currently ongoing along a gradient of moderate to strong instability, analyzed by the RAP in eastern Missouri. The unstable thermodynamic environment along with sufficient deep-layer shear will support an isolated wind-damage threat for a few more hours this evening. High Plains Mid-level flow is west-northwesterly over the High Plains this evening. According to water vapor imagery, a shortwave trough is located over eastern Colorado. Ahead of this feature, a moist airmass is present over much of the central Plains, where surface dewpoints are mostly in the 60s F. An axis of moderate instability is analyzed by the RAP from the northern Texas Panhandle northward into northwestern Nebraska. Along and near this axis, multiple small clusters of strong to severe storms are ongoing. The strongest deep-layer shear is analyzed by the RAP from east-central Colorado northward into western Nebraska, where 0-6 km shear is estimated to be in the 30 to 40 knot range. Within this zone, low to mid-level lapse rates are estimated to be around 7 C/km. This environment will be sufficient for an isolated severe threat this evening. Severe wind gusts and hail will be the primary threats.