Weather Alerts For Oregon, OH

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST SUMMARY Strong to locally severe thunderstorms may occur from the south-central Plains into parts of the Midwest this afternoon and evening, with at least isolated damaging wind gusts possible. Southern/Central Plains into the Midwest/Great Lakes The primary mid/upper-level trough over central/eastern Canada will remain displaced well north of the surface warm sector today, with upper ridging remaining anchored over the Southeast. A surface cold front will make generally slow south-southeastward progress over the central Plains and mid MS Valley/Midwest through this evening, before eventually stalling late in the period. A seasonably moist airmass characterized by surface dewpoints in the 60s to low 70s will be in place ahead of the front from the southern High Plains northeastward to the southern Great Lakes vicinity. While lapse rates aloft will remain modest, daytime heating will support the development of moderate instability by mid afternoon along much of the length of the front (perhaps locally stronger across parts of eastern KS into MO/IL). Enhanced mid-level flow will tend to remain north of the cold front, but some veering and gradual strengthening of the wind field with height through mid levels should support sufficient deep-layer shear for modest updraft organization, especially from parts of the central Plains into the Midwest. Current expectations are for thunderstorms to gradually develop by 20-23Z along/near much of the length of the front as convective temperatures are reached. Loosely organized clusters capable of producing mainly damaging winds should be the primary concern as this convection spreads generally east-northeastward through the evening, especially where low-level lapse rates can become steepened. This appears more likely across parts of the southern/central Plains where stronger heating is forecast. Some chance for marginal supercell structures may exist from parts of eastern KS into MO this afternoon, with isolated hail possible. Considered greater wind probabilities and a Slight Risk across this region, but potential for an organized cluster remains too uncertain for an upgrade with this update. Southwest/Four Corners A rather moist low-level airmass (surface dewpoints generally in the 50s) will remain across parts of the Four Corners region today. Modestly enhanced west-southwesterly mid-level flow will persist from UT into western CO ahead of a mid/upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest. While occasional strong thunderstorms appear possible, modest heating and overall weak destabilization are currently expected to limit the magnitude of the severe threat. Small hail and gusty winds could accompany the strongest cores, but confidence in organized severe thunderstorms remains too low to include any hail/wind probabilities at this time.