Weather Alerts For Richmond, TX

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF TEXAS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE CENTRAL GULF COAST SUMMARY Strong to severe thunderstorms should impact a corridor from parts of Texas to the Gulf Coast states today. Scattered large to very large hail and damaging winds are the primary risks with the stronger storms. Texas into the Lower Mississippi Valley/Southeast Satellite imagery late this morning indicates high momentum quasi-zonal flow from TX eastward across the central Gulf Coast. An upstream perturbation over Chihuahua is forecast to move quickly east today reaching central TX late this afternoon. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast to increase in coverage/intensity mainly along/near a surface front draped from west-central TX to southern AR. A moisture-rich airmass featuring lower 70s deg F surface dewpoints south of the front, coupled with a plume of 8 deg C/km 700-500 mb lapse rates and some diurnal heating, will contribute to 2000-4000 J/kg of MLCAPE decreasing with east extent. A few initial thunderstorms clusters north of the surface front over TX are expected to gradually intensify through early afternoon. The moderate to very unstable airmass will combine with elongated/nearly straight hodographs to support supercell development with the stronger updrafts and an associated risk for large to very large hail (1 to 3 inches in diameter). Have extended the 15-percent hail and CIG1 hail delineation farther east into northeast TX and western LA. For short-term forecast details, please refer to MCD #615. Eventually upscale growth into one or more clusters is expected to evolve across LA into the central Gulf Coast states later this afternoon. Damaging gusts and an isolated risk for large hail will be the primary hazards with the stronger storms. Farther west, isolated to widely scattered intense storm development is forecast across the Edwards Plateau this afternoon. This activity may eventually focus closer to the Rio Grande later this evening with a large to very large hail threat persisting well after dark. Upper OH Valley into the Mid-Atlantic/North Carolina Within large-scale upper troughing over the Great Lakes/Midwest, an embedded mid-level shortwave trough will move northeastward across the Mid-Atlantic this afternoon/evening in tandem with an eastward-moving surface cold front. Only modest boundary layer moisture is present across the region, with surface dewpoints generally in the 50s. Forecast soundings over western PA show some low-level hodograph curvature within a moist environment. Main uncertainty across the upper OH Valley is the magnitude of destabilization in this area given ongoing scattered showers and widespread cloud cover. Nonetheless, a couple of stronger storms could yield an isolated risk for wind damage and perhaps a brief tornado later this afternoon, especially near/southeast of a weak surface low. Farther south, isolated wind/hail will be possible with the stronger thunderstorms through the late afternoon/early evening.