Severe Storm Risk - Fox Chase, PA

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL MT SOUTHWARD INTO NORTHERN UT SUMMARY Scattered thunderstorms capable of damaging wind gusts are possible across portions of the northern High Plains and Great Basin this afternoon and evening. Other areas of isolated severe wind/hail risk occur over the upper Ohio Valley and the Texas Panhandle. WV/PA/NY A large upper trough is deepening as it tracks southeastward across the Great Lakes and Midwest into the Upper Ohio Valley. The associated surface cold front is sweeping across OH, and will extend from central NY into western PA and northern WV later today. Clouds are currently prevalent across this region, but some clearing/heating is expected as low-level moisture is transported into the area. The result will be narrow corridor of sufficient CAPE for thunderstorm development along the front from NY into WV. Given the strength of the upper trough and winds aloft, there is concern for a few severe storms capable of damaging winds and perhaps hail...mainly in the 18-00z period. Great Basin A second strong and progressive upper trough has moved ashore over OR/WA and will spread mid-level height falls and large scale ascent across much of the Great Basin and Rockies today and tonight. Low-level moisture is very sparse ahead of the system, but pockets of strong heating from northern UT into eastern ID/western WY and central MT will result in inverted-v profiles and sufficient CAPE for isolated charge separation and robust updrafts. CAM solutions suggest a risk of high-based fast-moving showers and occasional thunderstorms affecting the region, with the risk of severe wind gusts. TX Panhandle A surface dryline will become established over the TX panhandle later today, where temperatures will climb well into the 90s. Forecast soundings show only modest CAPE and limited risk of convective initiation over this area. However, any storm that can persist in this environment would conditionally pose a threat of damaging wind gusts and large hail. Will maintain the ongoing MRGL risk for this conditional risk.