Weather Alerts For Athens, OH

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER ILLINOIS AND INDIANA SUMMARY An outbreak of severe thunderstorms is expected today, with primary threat centered over Illinois and Indiana. Several intense tornadoes, swaths of damaging gusts over 75 mph and damaging wind-driven hail will all be possible. IL...IN...MO...OH An intense mid and upper level jet will nose southeastward across the Midwest today, with a prominent leading disturbance moving out of IA and into IL through midday. Severe storms are likely to be associated with this early wave as a southwesterly low-level jet increases to 60 kt and rapidly bring instability into the area. This initial activity will bring damaging winds to eastern IA and northern/central IL. This system is expected to weaken later in the afternoon, but some remnants will move across IN. Ahead of this early activity, a warm front will push north across IN and OH. New severe storm development, perhaps transitioning out of the remnant activity and/or forming near the warm front, is possible across northern IN into northwest OH. Shear profiles will be excessive, with tornado risk only conditional on minimal instability being present. The result may be a isolated tornadic supercells. To the west, the air mass across northern MO, IL, and into central IN will easily recover and rapidly destabilize due to strong southwest winds. A 60+ kt low-level jet is forecast, with notably strong winds around 700 mb as well (surface to 3 km shear values may exceed 60 kt). A plume of 65-70 F dewpoints will likely extend from central MO into IL and western IN in the 21-00Z time frame, contributing to 2000-3000 J/kg MLCAPE. A broken line of supercells is likely to develop and mature roughly from northern IN into central IL and MO around 21Z and spreading east/southeast through early evening. Given the clearly supercellular shear profiles, linear storm mode is unlikely for most of the event. Long-tracked supercells producing tornadoes and damaging hail are likely. Finally, the warm frontal position will need to be monitored near the IN/MI border. Even if instability is elevated into MI, extreme shear and lift may still yield damaging winds and even a tornado risk. As such, probabilities have been increased into far southern Lower MI. Upper TX Coast into the northern Gulf Coast The NHC forecast shows Potential TC One moving into southwest LA by 00Z. Wind fields associated with this system will strengthen out of the south ahead of it, resulting in areas of strong low-level shear from TX into southern LA, and possibly into MS. Mid to upper 70 F dewpoints will contribute to modest CAPE values, supporting embedded stronger cells with tornado potential.