Weather Alerts For Cold Springs, TX

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS SUMMARY Severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts, large hail and a few tornadoes are likely across the southern and central Plains this afternoon and evening. Isolated strong to severe storms are also possible from parts of the Ohio Valley, central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic. Southern and Central Plains A mid-level shortwave trough will move quickly eastward across the Desert Southwest today and into the southern Rockies. At the surface, a moist airmass will be in place across the southern Plains. A quasi-stationary front will be located from near Childress northeastward into southeast Kansas, with a dryline extending southward into west-central Texas. To the southeast of the front, surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s F will contribute to moderate instability by afternoon, with MLCAPE increasing into the 2000 to 3000 J/kg range. Convective initiation will take place in the late afternoon along the front and dryline, with a broken line of strong to severe storms moving eastward across the southern and central Plains. In addition to a favorable thermodynamic environment, deep-layer shear will gradually improve over the southern Plains as the mid-level trough approaches. RAP forecast soundings in western Oklahoma increase 0-6 km shear from about 25 knots at 21Z to near 40 knots at 00Z, suggesting that environment will support supercell development in the late afternoon. Lapse rates in the 7 to 7.5 C/km range will be favorable for large hail with supercells, and hailstones greater than 2 inches will be possible. In addition, a tornado threat is expected to develop as low-level shear ramps up during the late afternoon and early evening. Any supercell that can form far enough away from other storms to maintain a relative long life cycle will be favored to produce tornadoes. If any supercell can become intense, then a strong tornado will be possible. Otherwise, cells are forecast to congeal into a line and move eastward across northwest Texas, west-central Oklahoma, eastern Kansas and western Missouri during the evening. The stronger storms within this line should be associated with severe wind gusts and isolated large hail. A QLCS tornado threat will also be likely, especially within the more intense bowing line segments. Further south into southwest Texas, isolated supercells with large hail are expected to develop to the east of a dryline. This threat should persist into the early to mid evening. A few strong wind gusts will also be possible. Ohio Valley/Mid-Atlantic West-southwesterly mid-level flow will be in place over much of the eastern U.S. today. At the surface, a quasi-stationary front will be located in the Ohio Valley from southern Indiana east-northeastward into far southern Pennsylvania. Surface dewpoints in the upper 50s and lower 60s F to the south of the front will contribute to weak instability by early afternoon. Increasing low-level convergence near the front and warming surface temperatures will result in scattered thunderstorms during the afternoon. Several short line segments are expected to form and move eastward across the Ohio Valley into the central Appalachians. 0-6 km shear in the 25 to 35 knot range and steep low-level lapse rates will support isolated severe storms with potential for damaging wind gusts. A low-end tornado threat will also be possible.

Pollen Index: 11.7 Pollen Level: high Predominant Pollen: Oak, Hackberry and Maple. The quantity of pollen grains in the air for Thursday will be falling in the moderate range. This change results in part from falling temperatures, rising humidity and heavy rains in the morning which tend to wash pollen out of the air. Relief is in sight.