Weather Alerts For Hendrix, OK

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHWEST TEXAS AND CENTRAL TO WESTERN OKLAHOMA AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES SUMMARY Widely scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing mainly large to very large hail and locally damaging winds appear possible for parts of western/central Oklahoma this afternoon through tonight. Isolated hail and damaging winds may also occur across portions of the Texas and Louisiana Gulf Coast, central High Plains, Great Lakes, and Mid-Atlantic. 20z Update 15% wind risk probabilities were introduced to the eastern shore of Lake Erie downstream of a developing squall line. Although buoyancy across this region remains fairly weak (around 500 J/kg MLCAPE per recent mesoanalysis estimates), boundary-layer mixing is noted along the eastern shore that may facilitate downward momentum transfer as the squall line moves onshore. Additionally, latest time-lagged HRRR/RRFS ensembles have shown a consistent signal for 45-60 mph gusts associated with the line during the late afternoon/evening hours, hinting that a localized corridor of higher wind potential may materialize. Northern Gulf Coast/Northern Florida Severe probabilities along the northern Gulf Coast and across northern Florida have been reduced based on recent convective trends. Latest radar/satellite imagery depicts a frontal boundary pushing south into the northern Gulf with limited MUCAPE noted in recent mesoanalyses north of the boundary. Across northern FL, convection developing along the frontal zone has struggled to maintain intensity - likely owing to marginal forcing for ascent and poor mid-level lapse rates sampled by a recent 18 UTC JAX sounding. Severe wind probabilities have largely been adjusted across northeastern FL to reflect where stronger heating/better buoyancy will likely support more robust updrafts through late afternoon. Eastern Texas Panhandle Severe hail/wind probabilities have been adjusted west from western OK into the eastern TX Panhandle where dewpoints are climbing into the low/mid 50s and shallow cumulus is beginning to develop along the dryline. These trends hint that the severe risk may emerge slightly further west than depicted by previous forecasts and guidance. Elsewhere, the forecast remains on track. See the previous discussion below and MCDs 684, 685, and 686 for additional details.