Weather Alerts For Lagrange, OH

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN/CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS SUMMARY Widely scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing mainly large to very large hail and locally damaging winds appear possible for parts of western/central Oklahoma this afternoon through tonight. Isolated hail and damaging winds may also occur across portions of the Gulf Coast states, central High Plains, Great Lakes, and Mid-Atlantic. Southern/Central Plains High-based convection is forecast to develop this afternoon across southeast WY and vicinity as a mid-level shortwave trough progresses southeastward across the northern/central High Plains. While low-level moisture is expected to remain quite limited, cool temperatures aloft and a well-mixed boundary layer will support a risk for isolated severe wind gusts and perhaps some hail with the more robust convection. This activity should spread southeastward across parts of the central High Plains through the afternoon and evening, while continuing to pose an isolated severe threat. Low-level moisture is somewhat greater across the southern High Plains, but still quite shallow per 12Z observed soundings from OUN/FWD. While large-scale ascent will remain weaker with southward extent through the day across this region, a surface dryline will extend across the eastern TX Panhandle vicinity by peak afternoon heating. Most guidance continues to suggest an uncapped and moderately unstable airmass will exist along/east of this dryline across western OK. Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms may initiate by late afternoon/early evening. If this occurs, then a few supercells capable of producing mainly large to very large hail appear possible. The well-mixed boundary layer and shallow low-level moisture suggest a low risk for a tornado or two through early evening, before low-level shear gradually increases through late evening. There is also a signal for convection to form/spread southeastward from KS/northern OK into central OK late tonight/early Sunday morning. If this scenario occurs, then a severe wind threat may exist with any sustained clusters given a favorable thermodynamic and kinematic environment. Coastal Texas into the Lower Mississippi Valley/Southeast A weak mid-level trough over central/east TX late this morning will continue to move eastward into the western Gulf through this evening. Stronger convection across deep south TX has recently moved offshore, but additional thunderstorms may develop this afternoon across parts of coastal/southeast TX into LA in close proximity to the mid-level trough. Cool temperatures aloft atop a moist low-level airmass will support moderate to locally strong instability. This coupled with sufficient deep-layer shear may foster modest updraft organization and an isolated risk for large hail and damaging winds with the stronger cores that form. Across the central Gulf Coast states, widespread precipitation and ongoing convection has reinforced the surface front near the coast. Any appreciable risk for occasional damaging winds should remain along/south of this convectively reinforced boundary through the afternoon. Therefore, the Marginal Risk has been adjusted southward with this update. Great Lakes Beneath upper troughing centered over Ontario, a surface cold front will advance east-southeastward across the Great Lakes through the period. Only modest low-level moisture (generally low to mid 50s surface dewpoints) will be in place ahead of this front from southeast Lower MI into the lower Great Lakes. Still, strong mid-level flow may be mixed towards the surface as low-level lapse rates continue to steepen this afternoon. Accordingly, thunderstorms that develop along/ahead of the cold front should pose a threat for at least isolated damaging winds, and perhaps some hail with any marginal supercell structures. The overall thermodynamic environment appears too limited to justify greater severe wind probabilities at this time. Mid-Atlantic Given ongoing cloud cover and precipitation, confidence remains fairly low that sufficient instability to support sustained surface-based convection will exist this afternoon across the eastern Mid-Atlantic. Still, a low chance for a stronger thunderstorm or two may focus across parts of NJ and vicinity, where weak instability should overlap with modest deep-layer shear.

Pollen Index: 8.4 Pollen Level: medium-high Predominant Pollen: Mulberry, Oak and Birch. The quantity of pollen grains in the air for Sunday will be falling in the moderate range. This relief in pollen levels is caused in part by falling temperatures, lack of strong winds and expected precipitation in the morning, afternoon and evening which tends to wash pollen out of the air. Relief is in sight.