Weather Alerts For Devon, CT
Severe Storm Risk
-There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST INTO THE MID ATLANTIC...THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS...AND ARKLATEX SUMMARY Scattered severe storms appear possible across portions of the Mid-Atlantic into the Southeast, mainly this afternoon and evening. Widely scattered severe storms are expected across the northern and central High Plains, with more isolated severe weather possible from the southern Plains into the lower Mississippi Valley. Mid Atlantic into the Mid-South A midlevel shortwave trough, including the remnant of a prominent MCV, is forecast to move from parts of the Upper OH Valley toward the Northeast and Mid Atlantic later today. While most guidance suggests some dampening of this shortwave trough with time, some flow enhancement will persist within the 850-500 mb layer in the wake of this shortwave across parts of the Mid Atlantic and central/southern Appalachians. Scattered storm development is expected by early/mid afternoon within a moist and moderately unstable environment. Initial development is expected to evolve into forward propagating storm clusters with a threat of damaging winds through the afternoon into the early evening. As convection intercepts a northward-moving warm front across the Mid Atlantic, locally backed flow may support development of at least transient supercells, with some tornado potential. Farther southwest, an MCV is expected to emerge from a morning MCS over the southern Plains and move eastward toward the Mid-South region through the afternoon. As this MCV moves through a very warm/moist and moderately buoyant environment, storm development is expected both along the MCV track, and also in the wake of the MCV along a trailing cold front. Damaging winds will be possible with the strongest cells/clusters. Guidance varies somewhat regarding the strength of low-level shear/SRH enhancement associated with the MCV, but some tornado potential could also evolve through the afternoon into early evening. Central/northern High Plains Scattered storm development is expected this afternoon and evening across parts of the central and northern High Plains, within a relatively moist and moderately unstable environment. Steep midlevel lapse rates and sufficient deep-layer shear will support potential for supercells with large to very large hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado or two. Modest upscale growth cannot be ruled out during the evening, though most guidance does not depict organized MCS development at this time. Southern Plains/ArkLaTex region The remnant of a vigorous MCS will likely be ongoing at the start of the period from north TX into the ArkLaTex region. Some severe threat could accompany this system at the beginning of the period, though a general weakening trend is expected through the morning. Isolated redevelopment will be possible along the remnant outflow into early evening, with an increase in storm coverage expected late tonight. Localized wind damage could accompany any of this redevelopment, though generally modest deep-layer shear will tend to limit a more organized severe threat.